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Red43
322919.0
333114.4
376321.7
Blue11
248318.7
448133.1
128718.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417102060801001201401604311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3763
#14
21.70.2
13.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
4481
#11
33.14.3
28.924.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3229
#22
19.00.2
12.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2483
#36
18.74.3
18.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3331
#29
14.40.2
20.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1287
#44
18.42.8
19.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End