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Red60
38457.5
453417.4
153332.7
Blue35
382214.2
482316.4
481614.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59410501001506035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#20
32.70.3
35.035.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
4823
#42
16.40.4
13.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4534
#21
17.40.3
14.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4816
#39
14.70.6
13.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3845
#52
7.50.3
6.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3822
#35
14.20.6
17.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End