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Red13
493522.8
340213.5
373717.5
Blue49
379613.7
322919.0
111140.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666101001502002501349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#23
22.82.6
25.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
40.80.9
34.934.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3737
#26
17.53.7
23.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3229
#22
19.01.0
12.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3402
#31
13.53.8
16.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3796
#49
13.70.9
14.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End