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Red275
81164.6
393046.1
352565.5
Blue146
17567.5
287749.8
512250.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147185050100250300350275146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#17
65.56.1
66.872.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
175
#43
67.51.6
76.274.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
811
#15
64.66.1
47.253.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
5122
#31
50.31.6
50.448.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3930
#25
46.16.1
38.644.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2877
#34
49.81.6
52.350.7
Auto
Teleop
End