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Red132
490931.0
405561.4
346778.3
Blue195
31955.6
5866.9
13354.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154163050100200250300350132195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.31.2
71.670.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
58
#16
66.91.7
56.858.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4055
#29
61.41.2
52.951.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
319
#11
55.61.7
50.051.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4909
#51
31.01.2
30.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.7
133
#19
54.71.7
54.956.6
Auto
Teleop
End