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Red144
109948.5
17567.5
199143.5
Blue156
13840.6
490931.0
5866.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160131050100200250300144156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#43
67.50.6
71.570.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
58
#16
66.91.0
60.761.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1099
#47
48.50.6
41.440.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
138
#52
40.61.0
45.746.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1991
#49
43.50.6
42.642.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
4909
#51
31.01.0
29.130.1
Auto
Teleop
End