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Red157
17661.3
81164.6
264837.3
Blue204
405561.4
151961.4
17840.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154153100120140180200220157204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#15
64.60.2
54.955.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
61.42.5
59.862.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
#32
61.30.2
63.663.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4055
#29
61.42.5
53.856.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2648
#37
37.30.2
35.035.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
178
#39
40.02.5
40.142.6
Auto
Teleop
End