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Red156
31955.6
19590.5
23750.7
Blue177
13155.4
81164.6
199143.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2001470100300400500156177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
90.51.8
88.386.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
811
#15
64.61.1
54.956.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
319
#11
55.61.8
56.855.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
131
#8
55.41.1
57.858.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
237
#23
50.71.8
46.644.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
1991
#49
43.51.1
42.343.4
Auto
Teleop
End