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Red221
173550.2
7861.6
447334.7
Blue135
17661.3
5866.9
24637.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261650100200300400221135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#24
61.64.4
57.662.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
58
#16
66.91.2
63.462.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1735
#12
50.24.4
46.150.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
176
#32
61.31.2
61.560.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4473
#18
34.74.4
28.633.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
246
#40
37.91.2
34.032.8
Auto
Teleop
End