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Red126
393046.1
512250.3
17760.7
Blue236
115353.8
55861.5
151961.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1741790100300400500126236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#22
60.72.4
68.566.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
558
#3
61.52.9
72.775.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#31
50.32.4
62.460.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
61.42.9
60.563.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3930
#25
46.12.4
44.041.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
53.82.9
45.448.3
Auto
Teleop
End