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Red125
151728.6
55861.5
199143.5
Blue118
17840.0
105835.6
490853.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541180200300400125118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#3
61.51.2
73.372.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
4908
#27
53.30.3
47.146.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
#49
43.51.2
45.043.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
178
#39
40.00.3
41.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1517
#44
28.61.2
30.028.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1058
#46
35.60.3
35.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End