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Red172
151961.4
404858.8
346139.7
Blue202
352565.5
23750.7
456456.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1551720100200300400500172202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.7
61.762.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
3525
#17
65.51.6
68.269.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4048
#41
58.80.7
56.757.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4564
#26
56.81.6
52.353.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3461
#42
39.70.7
39.239.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
237
#23
50.71.6
48.750.4
Auto
Teleop
End