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Red157
314765.2
228366.8
157444.6
Blue175
384750.8
167895.2
205468.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1802260100300400500157175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#48
66.81.5
66.464.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.4
95.22.2
97.194.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3147
#70
65.21.5
72.370.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
68.42.2
62.560.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1574
#49
44.61.5
48.246.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3847
#25
50.82.2
59.357.1
Auto
Teleop
End