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Red172
501043.0
86876.8
241546.7
Blue141
36470.7
501623.2
112655.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166133050100200250300350400172141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
76.80.5
72.372.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
364
#37
70.70.1
72.372.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
#64
46.70.5
49.249.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
1126
#52
55.00.1
49.850.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5010
#41
43.00.5
39.940.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
5016
#91
23.20.1
16.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End