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Red126
382468.4
180668.9
533923.0
Blue172
99735.5
248663.3
1689.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1512030100300400126172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#35
68.91.7
65.964.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
16
#4
89.21.1
91.590.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3824
#45
68.41.7
71.770.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
2486
#11
63.31.1
59.458.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5339
#90
23.01.7
21.619.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
997
#74
35.51.1
43.942.8
Auto
Teleop
End