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Red92
517129.2
513635.9
81158.1
Blue167
59748.3
328457.6
331353.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514905010020025030035092167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#86
58.11.8
59.057.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3284
#28
57.61.1
52.954.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5136
#26
35.91.8
38.636.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
3313
#20
53.21.1
50.351.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5171
#72
29.21.8
31.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
597
#34
48.31.1
42.543.5
Auto
Teleop
End