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Red211
91073.5
306530.9
97182.3
Blue114
130527.0
173162.1
529116.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201840300400211114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
82.31.4
82.584.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
1731
#51
62.10.6
63.163.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#5
73.51.4
72.373.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 46.5
1305
#96
27.00.6
24.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3065
#63
30.91.4
27.729.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
5291
#99
16.00.6
14.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End