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Red322
198349.1
326065.9
198692.6
Blue106
505729.7
34168.9
494915.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21885050150200250300350400322106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.66.2
89.996.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.7
341
#33
68.90.0
64.364.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3260
#47
65.96.2
64.871.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.3
5057
#65
29.70.0
28.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1983
#15
49.16.2
42.849.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.6
4949
#100
15.50.0
12.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End