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Red201
323850.4
406959.4
180668.9
Blue77
306530.9
325646.2
531012.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18868010030040020177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#35
68.91.6
64.365.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
3256
#80
46.20.5
41.440.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#53
59.41.6
56.758.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
3065
#63
30.90.5
29.128.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3238
#60
50.41.6
48.950.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.6
5310
#59
12.80.5
16.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End