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Red186
13355.8
205468.4
331353.2
Blue123
306530.9
494134.8
129432.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18283050100150200250300350186123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.41.0
63.464.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.6
4941
#87
34.81.3
34.535.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
133
#61
55.81.0
52.153.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
1294
#82
32.71.3
34.936.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3313
#20
53.21.0
50.851.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
3065
#63
30.91.3
28.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End