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Red155
11161.4
198349.1
203549.3
Blue120
519020.7
2559.7
448130.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164103050200250300350400155120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#13
61.40.0
56.556.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
25
#23
59.70.4
59.459.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2035
#71
49.30.0
46.546.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
4481
#84
30.10.4
31.431.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1983
#15
49.10.0
51.251.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.4
5190
#77
20.70.4
21.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End