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Red181
248663.3
113848.9
228366.8
Blue99
86876.8
392860.0
531012.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17915005010020025030035040018199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#48
66.80.3
64.364.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
868
#2
76.82.8
73.770.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2486
#11
63.30.3
60.761.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3928
#38
60.02.8
64.762.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1138
#54
48.90.3
49.549.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.1
5310
#59
12.82.8
15.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End