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Red133
81158.1
531012.8
261458.0
Blue123
287766.1
252258.5
448130.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123139050100200250300133123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#86
58.10.4
63.463.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
2877
#40
66.10.7
52.551.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2614
#19
58.00.4
52.753.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2522
#22
58.50.7
52.051.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5310
#59
12.80.4
9.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
4481
#84
30.10.7
31.731.1
Auto
Teleop
End