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Red173
531012.8
167895.2
241546.7
Blue160
518829.9
128556.0
36881.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152169050100200250300350400173160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.20.9
96.897.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
368
#21
81.70.3
84.584.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
#64
46.70.9
49.850.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1285
#18
56.00.3
48.347.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5310
#59
12.80.9
7.98.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
5188
#92
29.90.3
33.933.6
Auto
Teleop
End