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Red123
159259.7
7852.9
171012.9
Blue172
5867.6
323850.4
129432.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491370100200300400123172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#58
59.71.2
61.960.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
58
#29
67.61.6
63.865.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
#55
52.91.2
71.370.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3238
#60
50.41.6
44.946.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1710
#95
12.91.2
14.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.7
1294
#82
32.71.6
30.432.1
Auto
Teleop
End