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Red117
533923.0
512445.0
439141.0
Blue244
384750.8
31475.7
151166.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions812080300400500117244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#42
45.00.8
33.734.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.7
314
#12
75.72.8
68.871.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4391
#68
41.00.8
46.046.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.7
1511
#30
66.82.8
60.863.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5339
#90
23.00.8
20.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.8
3847
#25
50.82.8
58.661.4
Auto
Teleop
End