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Red10
37805.2
356618.6
178621.6
Blue122
13161.5
9729.5
127710.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5876010015020010122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1786
#25
21.64.2
15.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.9
131
#2
61.54.0
38.042.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3566
#11
18.64.2
32.227.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
97
#14
29.54.0
20.924.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3780
#38
5.24.2
13.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1277
#26
10.84.0
14.718.8
Auto
Teleop
End