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Red90
262122.2
183119.9
287639.0
Blue121
192230.9
124722.8
81135.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41580208010012014016090121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#16
39.03.8
18.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
811
#17
35.95.5
28.433.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2621
#29
22.23.8
11.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
1922
#10
30.95.5
19.525.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
#28
19.93.8
13.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1247
#12
22.85.5
7.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End