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Red100
234213.7
151935.8
124722.8
Blue65
242320.8
17747.1
178621.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5960020408010012010065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.83.3
33.636.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
177
#18
47.10.5
32.332.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1247
#12
22.83.3
17.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1786
#25
21.60.5
10.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2342
#24
13.73.3
9.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
2423
#37
20.80.5
15.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End