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Red106
192230.9
13161.5
492916.2
Blue114
490933.9
360921.0
403425.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99480150200250106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
61.51.2
46.247.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.6
4909
#15
33.94.8
22.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1922
#10
30.91.2
26.027.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
25.64.8
17.522.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4929
#34
16.21.2
19.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3609
#22
21.04.8
15.920.7
Auto
Teleop
End