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Red110
428521.5
7545.0
218049.5
Blue143
219148.8
10340.5
127948.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112140050200250300110143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#14
49.50.1
49.649.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1279
#12
48.90.1
48.148.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
75
#2
45.00.1
45.145.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2191
#10
48.80.1
48.148.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4285
#30
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
103
#13
40.50.1
39.739.8
Auto
Teleop
End