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Red133
19362.1
29360.4
436128.6
Blue135
260763.0
162637.9
167652.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139158050100200250300350133135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
62.10.1
58.958.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
63.00.3
63.763.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#3
60.40.1
57.257.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
52.20.3
52.952.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4361
#39
28.60.1
25.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
1626
#23
37.90.3
38.638.2
Auto
Teleop
End