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Red197
19362.1
29360.4
436128.6
Blue128
167652.2
260763.0
162637.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138157050100200250300197128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
62.10.9
58.859.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
63.00.4
63.362.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#3
60.40.9
57.158.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
52.20.4
52.552.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4361
#39
28.60.9
25.326.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
1626
#23
37.90.4
38.237.8
Auto
Teleop
End