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Red68
465012.8
218049.5
89612.6
Blue53
7529.7
255416.7
257725.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824601001502006853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#14
49.50.4
50.249.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.3
2577
#38
25.20.1
25.125.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4650
#27
12.80.4
13.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2554
#36
16.70.1
16.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
896
#46
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
752
#40
9.70.1
9.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End