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Red123
13614.0
167230.8
10340.5
Blue151
351512.9
19362.1
465328.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7694050150200250123151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#13
40.52.2
37.439.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
193
#16
62.13.0
55.958.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1672
#11
30.82.2
30.032.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4653
#31
28.13.0
25.128.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
136
#43
14.02.4
11.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3515
#24
12.93.0
9.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End