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Red80
4112.5
130236.9
55525.9
Blue101
457327.0
360724.3
198928.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5845010015080101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
#18
36.91.2
23.424.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
28.64.5
18.022.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
#23
25.91.2
27.228.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4573
#16
27.04.5
17.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
41
#8
12.51.2
5.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
3607
#17
24.34.5
11.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End