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Red30
41286.9
114320.9
86940.7
Blue42
314219.4
125720.6
403513.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions813901001502002503042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#15
40.73.7
35.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
1257
#21
20.60.3
17.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1143
#27
20.93.7
25.621.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3142
#19
19.40.2
20.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4128
#28
6.92.2
13.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
4035
#12
13.40.2
8.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End