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Red5
531011.2
403513.4
7529.6
Blue130
334025.1
71414.8
130236.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39610501001505130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4035
#12
13.41.9
8.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.5
1302
#18
36.93.6
24.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5310
#29
11.23.1
19.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
3340
#14
25.13.6
15.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
752
#26
9.63.1
14.711.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
714
#31
14.86.0
17.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End