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Red52
86940.7
181114.6
167210.5
Blue89
10224.6
127935.4
7529.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615801001505289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#15
40.70.7
35.434.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
35.41.5
30.231.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1811
#11
14.60.4
14.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
102
#10
24.61.5
19.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1672
#30
10.50.7
11.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
752
#26
9.62.6
8.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End