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Red114
447523.6
122839.2
314219.4
Blue111
130236.9
22327.6
403513.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89420100150200114111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.6
35.737.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1302
#18
36.93.1
29.532.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4475
#24
23.62.7
27.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
223
#13
27.63.1
13.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#19
19.41.6
19.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
4035
#12
13.43.1
6.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End