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Red70
447523.6
41286.9
130236.9
Blue107
198928.6
531011.2
167642.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4674010015020070107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
#18
36.91.0
20.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
42.11.9
40.742.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4475
#24
23.61.6
19.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
28.63.1
14.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4128
#28
6.91.0
10.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
5310
#29
11.24.4
12.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End