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Red68
531011.2
130236.9
495426.3
Blue22
71414.8
125720.6
7529.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions794301001502006822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
#18
36.90.3
34.634.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
1257
#21
20.61.5
21.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4954
#22
26.30.3
27.327.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
714
#31
14.81.5
16.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5310
#29
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
752
#26
9.61.5
11.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End