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Red82
350135.5
126648.0
504914.6
Blue142
249316.8
98790.6
166126.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8914105020025082142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1266
#37
48.00.8
53.252.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 42.5
987
#5
90.60.5
92.893.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3501
#43
35.50.8
30.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1661
#34
26.30.5
25.225.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5049
#48
14.61.0
13.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
2493
#33
16.80.5
14.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End