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Red196
116543.3
203429.0
247832.9
Blue250
414637.0
248660.0
324547.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91134050150200250196250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#17
43.34.9
42.947.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
2486
#20
60.06.1
55.461.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2478
#22
32.94.9
28.133.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
3245
#12
47.56.1
41.948.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2034
#32
29.06.0
26.832.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
4146
#13
37.06.1
30.036.1
Auto
Teleop
End