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Red92
479216.3
301120.8
496224.2
Blue113
240326.5
330950.4
328841.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41135010015020025092113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4962
#29
24.21.8
22.424.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.3
50.40.4
51.651.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3011
#27
20.81.8
19.020.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
3288
#21
41.60.4
42.041.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4792
#41
16.31.8
14.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
2403
#14
26.50.4
26.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End