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Red206
212273.5
153868.3
210233.9
Blue107
98790.6
116543.3
416014.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17715550100200250300350206107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.51.6
72.273.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
987
#5
90.62.6
93.290.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1538
#19
68.31.6
67.969.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.9
1165
#17
43.32.6
47.945.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
33.91.6
33.935.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
4160
#46
14.82.6
17.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End