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Red156
414637.0
427652.1
325550.6
Blue113
347328.3
119741.3
249316.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15268050100200250300350156113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#25
52.10.8
52.152.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
1197
#38
41.31.6
39.741.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
50.60.8
51.051.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.3
3473
#26
28.31.6
26.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4146
#13
37.00.8
36.137.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
2493
#33
16.81.6
15.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End