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Red16
501616.5
27121.4
445844.1
Blue32
81021.1
115622.3
456721.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517301001502002501632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#14
44.13.2
23.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
1156
#28
22.33.1
24.321.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
#40
21.43.2
15.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4567
#26
21.73.1
28.225.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5016
#37
16.53.2
15.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
810
#33
21.13.1
17.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End