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Red199
2837.3
287557.8
179653.2
Blue71
49620.3
263842.0
53334.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929905015020019971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.88.8
30.539.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
2638
#19
42.02.3
32.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53.28.8
35.143.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
533
#8
34.11.4
38.337.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
28
#7
37.38.8
27.836.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
496
#34
20.32.3
27.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End