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Red26
400631.4
154626.6
287218.8
Blue44
362430.7
87134.2
509920.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47500204060801002644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4006
#23Sur
31.41.8
17.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
871
#21
34.20.5
17.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1546
#25
26.61.8
17.715.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3624
#13Sur
30.70.3
22.922.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2872
#38
18.81.8
12.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
5099
#45
20.40.5
9.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End